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51.
在品牌渠道体系的建设过程中,除了对利润最大化的追求以外,财务上的脆弱性/柔性会极大地影响着经销商的决策心理和商业行为实践。本文着重考察单位产品利润率和剩余产品处理费用对经销商决策心理和行为的影响,通过分析零售商的收益分布状况,再基于展望理论的思路,建立了参考点取决于损益状况的报童展望模型。最后证明,财务脆弱性将更大地发挥损失厌恶型决策者的保守心理。 相似文献
52.
针对具有不确定语言信息的多属性决策问题,给出了一种基于语言概率测度的决策分析方法。阐述了不确定语言变量的概念,提出了一种用于处理不确定语言变量的语言概率有序加权平均(linguistic probabilistic ordered weighted averaging,LPOWA)算子。采用LPOWA算子将不确定语言转化为二元语义,再通过ETOWA算子得到每个方案的综合评价值,进而可得到所有方案的排序结果。利用LPOWA算子和ETOWA算子,对辽宁省风险投资企业进行评估和优选。理论分析和计算结果表明:该方法简洁可行,便于应用。 相似文献
53.
Patrick Meyer 《4OR: A Quarterly Journal of Operations Research》2009,7(2):191-194
This is a summary of the author’s Ph.D. thesis, defended on 8 October 2007 at the University of Luxembourg and the Faculté
Polytechnique de Mons, under the joint supervision of Raymond Bisdorff and Marc Pirlot. The thesis is written in English and
is available from the author upon request. The work is situated in the field of multiple criteria decision analysis. It mostly
deals with what we call progressive methods, i.e., iterative procedures presenting partial conclusions to the decision maker that can be refined at further steps of
the analysis. Such progressive methods have been studied in the context of multiattribute value theory and outranking methods.
相似文献
54.
A Bayesian approach to seafloor classification using multi-beam echo-sounder backscatter data 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
Dick G. Simons 《Applied Acoustics》2009,70(10):1258-520
Seafloor classification using acoustic remote sensing techniques is an attractive approach due to its high-coverage capabilities and limited costs. The multi-beam echo-sounder (MBES) system provides high-resolution bathymetry and backscatter information with 100% coverage. In this paper, we present a seafloor classification method that employs the MBES backscatter data. The method uses the averaged backscatter data per beam. It, therefore, is independent on the quality of the MBES calibration. Also, its performance is insensitive to seafloor type variation along the MBES swathe and corrections for the angular dependence of the backscatter are not needed. The method accounts for the ping-to-ping variability of the backscatter intensity. It estimates both the number of seafloor types present in the survey area and the probability density function for the backscatter strength at a certain angle for each of the seafloor types. Application of the method to MBES backscatter data acquired in a well-known test area in the North Sea shows very good agreement with available ground truth. The method’s discriminatory performance for this area is demonstrated to be comparable to that of taking samples of the sediment. All seafloor types known to be present in the area are resolved for. Application of the method to the Stanton bank data set shows clearly separable areas that differ in seafloor composition. 相似文献
55.
Nuno P. Faísca Pedro M. Saraiva Berç Rustem Efstratios N. Pistikopoulos 《Computational Management Science》2009,6(4):377-397
In this paper, we outline the foundations of a general global optimisation strategy for the solution of multilevel hierarchical
and general decentralised multilevel problems, based on our recent developments on multi-parametric programming and control
theory. The core idea is to recast each optimisation subproblem, present in the hierarchy, as a multi-parametric programming
problem, with parameters being the optimisation variables belonging to the remaining subproblems. This then transforms the
multilevel problem into single-level linear/convex optimisation problems. For decentralised systems, where more than one optimisation
problem is present at each level of the hierarchy, Nash equilibrium is considered. A three person dynamic optimisation problem
is presented to illustrate the mathematical developments. 相似文献
56.
This paper presents a weight sensitivity algorithm that can be used to investigate a portion of weight space of interest to the decision maker in a goal or multiple objective programme. The preferential information required from the decision maker is an initial estimate of their starting solution, with an equal weights solution being used as a default if this is not available, and preference information that will define the portion of weight space on which the sensitivity analysis is to be conducted. The different types of preferential information and how they are incorporated by the algorithm are discussed. The output of the algorithm is a set of distinct solutions that characterise the portion of weight space searched. The possible different output requirements of decision makers are detailed in the context of the algorithm.The methodology is demonstrated on two examples, one hypothetical and the other relating to predicting cinema-going behaviour. Conclusions and avenues for future research are given. 相似文献
57.
《Optimization》2012,61(3):687-707
This paper proposes an optimization method for a national-level highway project planning based on a modified genetic algorithm. The proposed method adds to the existing methods by integrating various planning elements into a single system. A simulation model is used in order to determine the best investment strategy with regard to net present value, time deviation from the initial plan and discrepancy between available resources and investment costs by taking into account economical, social, traffic and political factors. The outcome is a project schedule with an optimized cash flow. The proposed method was tested using the example of the National Highway Programme in Slovenia. 相似文献
58.
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60.
Psychophysical tasks requiring stimulus discrimination frequently report underconfidence; subjects think they are doing less accurately at discrimination or identification than is the case, measured in terms of probabilities of correct performance. An investigation to see if underconfidence is predictable from the intrinsic nonlinearities of the psychophysics, without assuming that confidence itself is a subjective analogue of a frequentist probability of correct identification, is explored using the algebra of cascaded nonlinear psychophysics previously developed. 相似文献